JANUARY 2017

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- Suresh Jaura
Publisher and Managing Editor

MORE SMOKE & MIRRORS

0712 flag pakistanSectarian violence in Karachi is just another chapter in Pakistan’s long history of violence against minorities, has afflicted Pakistan virtually from its moment of birth...

TRUMP'S FOREIGN POLICY

U.S. allies in Europe, Asia and the Middle East, smiling through their teeth, are feverishly hoping that Washington will maintain its security commitments. The Russians are ... . . ..   

AFGHANISTAN-PAKISTAN-USA

A US revaluation of its Af-Pak policy appears likely under Trump... It is, however, unlikely that US AfPak policy under Trump will be ‘more of the same’. Crucially, Pakistan’s role in supporting terrorism in Afghanistan . . .

NUCLEAR WWWIII

Escalation of hostility may become a thermonuclear WWIII.

ARM & TRAIN

Non-Muslims in violent conflict areas to enhance the security...

HYDRO BOOM & CONFLICTS

With approval of power plants, conflicts have arisen ...

SUICIDE TERRORISM

Growing support for suicide terrorism

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The Lethality of Nuclear Weapons

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By Steven Starr *

Nuclear war has no winner. Beginning in 2006, several of the world’s leading climatologists (at Rutgers, UCLA, John Hopkins University, and the University of Colorado-Boulder) published a series of studies that evaluated the long-term environmental consequences of a nuclear war, including baseline scenarios fought with merely 1% of the explosive power in the US and/or Russian launch-ready nuclear arsenals.

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Pokhran II: 16 Years Later

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By Rizwan Asghar

These policies might be able to gain the support of a handful of analysts known for toeing the establishment’s line in both countries but such offensive war doctrines are bringing the two nuclear-armed neighbours closer to nuclear conflict with every passing day

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Weak Price Growth: Hallmark of the New Normal

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By Peter G Hall
Vice-President and Chief Economist Export Development Canada

‘Below target’. It’s becoming the annoyingly common anthem of statistical agencies’ press releases on price growth. Central banks are joining the chorus, which when played sounds like a dirge for prices that harmonizes closely with the well-worn tunes of the ‘new normal’, low-growth movement. Admittedly, singing upbeat songs about price stability is currently out of place, a clash with the facts. But does it mean that for the foreseeable future, we’ll all be listening to minor-key stuff?

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Nepal Glaciers Shrink By Quarter In 30 Years

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By Countercurrents

Climate crisis has caused Nepal 's Himalayan glaciers to shrink by nearly a quarter in just over 30 years, said a scientist.

The glacier loss raises the risk of natural disasters in the ecologically fragile region.

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Rift within a Rift

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By S. Binodkumar Singh
Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management

On April 28, 2014, two Unified Communist Party of Nepal-Maoist (UCPN-M) cadres loyal to Chairman Pushpa Kamal Dahal aka Prachanda were seriously injured after cadres loyal to former Prime Minister and former Vice-Chairman Dr. Baburam Bhattarai exchanged blows at the opening ceremony of the Rasuwa District Convention, following a heated debate over the duration of the political event. Cadres from remote areas had demanded that the convention be concluded on the day itself, arguing that they did not have enough money for overnight accommodation.

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NEPAL: News Briefs

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Only 137 ex-LTTE cadres remain to complete their rehabilitation program, says BCGR: According to the Bureau of the Commissioner General of Rehabilitation (BCGR) sources, the Sri Lankan Government has successfully rehabilitated and reintegrated most of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) cadres who had surrendered to the Security Forces (SFs) or were arrested by the authorities at the end of war in May 2009 and only 137 ex-LTTE cadres remain to complete their rehabilitation program. The BCGR under the leadership of Major General K.J. Wijetillake has so far rehabilitated and reintegrated 11,947 ex-LTTE cadres out of a total of 12,303. Sunday Leader, May 29, 2014.

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Afghanistan: Selling The Never-Ending War on Terror

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The New York Times And Obama's Afghanistan Draw Down

By Steve Breyman *

Mark Landler's "US Troops to Leave Afghanistan by End of 2016" was the lead story in the New York Times on Wednesday, May 28. Landler reports President Obama's decision to reduce troop levels from the present 32,000 to 9,800 by the end of 2014 to half that by the end of 2015 to "a vestigial force" by the end of 2016.

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Bangladesh: The Way Backward

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By Fazal M. Kamal *

The news that there is increasing lawlessness in Bangladesh---including abductions, murders and the persistence of so-called crossfire deaths in police actions, just as predicted months earlier---isn’t the worst to come out recently from that unfortunate country. What’s been of greater anxiety and worry for the people has been the news that the police administration has decided to form anti-kidnapping units.

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Pakistan Nuclear Program: China Seen as Most Reliable Partner

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By Ayaz Gul

Pakistan is pressing ahead with expanding its nuclear energy and nuclear weapons programs, despite worries from international observers over their safety. Some argue that Washington should strike a deal to share civilian nuclear technology if Islamabad meets certain safeguards, similar to the U.S. deal with India. However, the chief of Pakistan's nuclear agency suggested he prefers to work with China.

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Balochistan: Taliban's Southern March

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By Ambreen Agha
Research Assistant, Institute for Conflict Management

Exploiting the restive and conflict ridden environment in Balochistan, terrorist outfits that share their ideology with the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) are spreading their influence in the Province. The TTP and its proxies, as SAIR has noted earlier, have long had a strong base in the northern part of the Province. In the recent past, however, they have extended their networks into the Makran Division, including Turbat, Panjgur and Gwadar Districts, which lies deep in the South Balochistan. Significantly, the region has witnessed attacks on private schools with the extremists professing abhorrence for western and girls' education.

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Talking Terror

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By Tushar Ranjan Mohanty
Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management

At least nine Frontier Corps (FC) personnel were killed and several others were injured when terrorists triggered an Improvised Explosive Device (IED) explosion targeting a Security Forces (SFs) convoy near the Miranshah Road in the Ghulam Khan Tehsil (revenue unit) of North Waziristan Agency (NWA) in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA), on May 8, 2014. No terrorist group has claimed responsibility for the attack, though it is generally believed to have been the handiwork of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP).

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