JANUARY 2017

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- Suresh Jaura
Publisher and Managing Editor

MORE SMOKE & MIRRORS

0712 flag pakistanSectarian violence in Karachi is just another chapter in Pakistan’s long history of violence against minorities, has afflicted Pakistan virtually from its moment of birth...

TRUMP'S FOREIGN POLICY

U.S. allies in Europe, Asia and the Middle East, smiling through their teeth, are feverishly hoping that Washington will maintain its security commitments. The Russians are ... . . ..   

AFGHANISTAN-PAKISTAN-USA

A US revaluation of its Af-Pak policy appears likely under Trump... It is, however, unlikely that US AfPak policy under Trump will be ‘more of the same’. Crucially, Pakistan’s role in supporting terrorism in Afghanistan . . .

NUCLEAR WWWIII

Escalation of hostility may become a thermonuclear WWIII.

ARM & TRAIN

Non-Muslims in violent conflict areas to enhance the security...

HYDRO BOOM & CONFLICTS

With approval of power plants, conflicts have arisen ...

SUICIDE TERRORISM

Growing support for suicide terrorism

.

What If A War Between Pakistan and India Went Nuclear?

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By Michael O’Hanlon – Newsweek

In my new book, The Future of Land Warfare (Brookings Institution Press, 2015), I attempt to debunk the new conventional wisdom (which began with the Obama administration but also permeates thinking beyond): Messy ground operations can be relegated to the dustbin of history.

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India-Pakistan: War Games

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Need for a reality check

By Arif Nizami – Pakistan Today

Both India and Pakistan are celebrating golden jubilees of their respective first full-fledged military conflagration in September 1965 as victory parades. The empty boast by the Indian army chief that he will have a ‘Patiala’ at Gymkhana Club Lahore — the same evening the Indian forces declared war on the western front — is interpreted as a victory for Pakistan Army in the ‘65 war.

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India and the NPT Need Each Other

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By Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan and Arka Biswas
The Diplomat

The nuclear non-proliferation order is clearly in trouble. The failure of the recently concluded NPT Review Conference (RevCon) over issues of nuclear disarmament and the Middle East Nuclear Weapons Free Zone (MENWFZ) highlighted the challenges the international community faces.

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Pakistan's Assessment of India's Nuclear-Warheads

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India Has Material for Over 2,000 Nuclear-warheads: Report

By Press Trust of India - The Economic Times

Pakistan has assessed that India has enough fissile material to build more than 2,000 nuclear warheads, a media report said.

The apex policy-making body for Pakistan's strategic programme, the National Command Authority (NCA), noted that India's rapidly growing nuclear programme and absence of a conflict resolution mechanism were upsetting strategic stability in the region.

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Pakistan's Quest for Nuclear Power, India's Worriment

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By S C Kohli - Meri News

Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, while a member of Gen. Ayub Khan's cabinet in 1960 was Pakistan's first leader who discerned the significance of developing nuclear power capabilities for his country's political and military standing in the Indian sub-continent.

After Pakistan's defeat in 1965 war, Bhutto had inter alia announced that "even if we have to eat grass, we will make nuclear bomb". Thereafter humiliating defeat in 1971 war at the hands of spirited Indian armed forces, Pakistan as a nation led by Bhutto got baffled and strongly perceived that Pakistan cannot defeat India militarily and required nuclear deterrent.

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‘Pakistan Has Second Nuclear Strike Capability’

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By Shafqat Ali - The Asian Age

Pakistan possesses second nuclear strike capability against India, former defence secretary Lt. Gen. Naeem Khalid Lodhi said on September 23.

Speaking at a seminar here titled “Challenges in the India, Pakistan Relations under BJP Government: Security & Diplomatic Perspectives” at the Strategic Vision Institute (SVI), Gen. Lodhi discussed the security challenge posed by India and Pakistan’s strengths in dealing with it, despite the growing conventional asymmetry with India.

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Germany’s Road to Redemption

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By Fareed Zakaria

Of the 4 million Syrian men, women and children who have fled their country, the Obama administration wants the United States to take in 10,000 over the next year. Britain has promised that it will revise its policy and resettle up to 20,000 Syrians over the next five years. And then there is Germany, where an estimated 800,000 asylum-seekers from Syria and other countries will arrive this year alone — more than in all of Europe last year.

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INDIA – PAKISTAN: Was Hamid Gul Actually Brokering Peace?

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Ex-RAW chief Anand Verma has revealed former ISI head was close to settling several disputes, and it may have led to Gen Zia's assassination.

By Shekhar Gupta

On The Hindu op-ed page on August 28, Anand Verma, director of R&AW in the Rajiv Gandhi era, has made stunning
revelations of his secret negotiations with Lt General Hamid Gul, then ISI chief and his exact counterpart. In negotiations, mostly conducted overseas, and later on public phone lines using code words and signals, he says they came close to settling the Siachen dispute and also de-escalate the Kashmir theatre on both sides.

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How Afghanistan had Sixty Years of Peace

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By Mohammad Dawod, Suhrob Ahmad

There is a scholarly consensus that while the rest of the world succumbed to two World Wars, Afghanistan endured a relatively peaceful sixty years. Credit for this era of internal peace and security is greatly due to the Afghan people’s strong traditions and rich social structure, which were integral parts of every Afghan’s daily life. Only by analyzing the tradition and informal social structure of Afghanistan, are we able to foresee durable peace.

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Bangladesh: Censorship by Murder

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By S. Binodkumar Singh
Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management

On September 2, 2015, four eminent personalities, including Chittagong District Court’s Additional Public Prosecutors Ashok Kumar Das and Chandan Bishwas; the Vice-Chancellor of Premier University, Chittagong, Dr. Anupam Sen; and International Crime Tribunal’s Prosecutor Rana Dasgupta received death threats in the form of SMS text messages from the banned terrorist formation, Ansarullah Bangla Team (ABT, Volunteer of Allah Bangla Team).

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BANGLADESH: News Briefs

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ABT issues global hit list of bloggers, writers and activists: Ansarullah Bangla Team (ABT) has issued a hit list of secular bloggers, writers and activists around the world, saying they will be killed if its demands are not met. The targets in the list include nine bloggers based in the UK, seven in Germany, two in the US, one in Canada and one in Sweden. Some are Bangladeshi citizens living overseas. Others are dual nationals or citizens of the western nations. The statement featured a logo comprising a black flag carrying the seal of the prophet Mohammed and the phrase: "We do not forget, we do not forgive" in English. Dhaka Tribune, September 24, 2015.

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